Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 10?
33°C 42%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 7.2%
$27,489 Vol.
$27,489 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
42%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 7.2%
$27,489 Vol.
$27,489 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
42%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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