Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 10?
31°C 66%
30°C 20%
32°C 12%
33°C 2.6%
NOUVEAU
$26,628 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$26,628 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
66%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
30°C 20%
32°C 12%
33°C 2.6%
NOUVEAU
$26,628 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$26,628 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
28°C or below
$749 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,042 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5,822 Vol.
20%
31°C
$5,855 Vol.
66%
32°C
$3,276 Vol.
12%
33°C
$1,472 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,698 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$26,628Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,628Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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