Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on July 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 10?
10°C 96.1%
11°C 2.6%
12°C <1%
4°C or below <1%
NOUVEAU
$63,531 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$63,531 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
96%
11°C
3%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 96.1%
11°C 2.6%
12°C <1%
4°C or below <1%
NOUVEAU
$63,531 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$63,531 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
4°C or below
$2,573 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$5,804 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$18,288 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$17,369 Vol.
96%
11°C
$7,207 Vol.
3%
12°C
$3,730 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,674 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$3,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$63,531Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,531Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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