Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have generated elevated vertical wind shear and atmospheric stability across the Atlantic main development region, suppressing intensification of the five named tropical storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard) that have formed since June. No systems have reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status as of mid-September, breaking the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane and keeping accumulated cyclone energy near record lows. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal season projection of 2–6 hurricanes through November 30, consistent with the observed pattern and historical analogs during strong El Niño years. Limited near-term development potential noted in current National Hurricane Center outlooks reinforces trader consensus around 1–3 total hurricanes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien d'ouragans se formeront pendant la saison des ouragans de l'Atlantique en 2026 ?
Combien d'ouragans se formeront pendant la saison des ouragans de l'Atlantique en 2026 ?
1-3 62%
0 36%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,080 Vol.
$31,080 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
0
36%
1-3
62%
4-6
3%
7+
<1%
1-3 62%
0 36%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,080 Vol.
$31,080 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
0
$16,790 Vol.
36%
1-3
$5,372 Vol.
62%
4-6
$6,694 Vol.
3%
7+
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have generated elevated vertical wind shear and atmospheric stability across the Atlantic main development region, suppressing intensification of the five named tropical storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard) that have formed since June. No systems have reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status as of mid-September, breaking the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane and keeping accumulated cyclone energy near record lows. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal season projection of 2–6 hurricanes through November 30, consistent with the observed pattern and historical analogs during strong El Niño years. Limited near-term development potential noted in current National Hurricane Center outlooks reinforces trader consensus around 1–3 total hurricanes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$31,080Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have generated elevated vertical wind shear and atmospheric stability across the Atlantic main development region, suppressing intensification of the five named tropical storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard) that have formed since June. No systems have reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status as of mid-September, breaking the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane and keeping accumulated cyclone energy near record lows. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal season projection of 2–6 hurricanes through November 30, consistent with the observed pattern and historical analogs during strong El Niño years. Limited near-term development potential noted in current National Hurricane Center outlooks reinforces trader consensus around 1–3 total hurricanes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Volume
$31,080Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have generated elevated vertical wind shear and atmospheric stability across the Atlantic main development region, suppressing intensification of the five named tropical storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard) that have formed since June. No systems have reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status as of mid-September, breaking the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane and keeping accumulated cyclone energy near record lows. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal season projection of 2–6 hurricanes through November 30, consistent with the observed pattern and historical analogs during strong El Niño years. Limited near-term development potential noted in current National Hurricane Center outlooks reinforces trader consensus around 1–3 total hurricanes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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