OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation threshold, explicitly confirmed by CEO Sam Altman on September 12 as a non-negotiable precondition for any IPO, underpins the 45% market-implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 primary round of $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a confidential June S-1 filing and August reaffirmation via a $7 billion tender offer, established a high base rate, while CFO Sarah Friar’s August statements shifted the timeline firmly to 2027 absent significant revenue acceleration. Secondary-market pricing near $475 billion highlights valuation dispersion, yet trader consensus prices in the potential for a record-scale offering once the $1 trillion bar is cleared, consistent with precedent large-cap tech debuts and ongoing AI capital demand. Key near-term catalysts remain limited given the extended runway.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$100B+ 41%
<$30B 24.1%
$80B–$90B 21.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2027
<$30B
24%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
45%
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 24.1%
$80B–$90B 21.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2027
<$30B
$603 Vol.
24%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
24%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
21%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
3%
$100B+
$1,742 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation threshold, explicitly confirmed by CEO Sam Altman on September 12 as a non-negotiable precondition for any IPO, underpins the 45% market-implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 primary round of $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a confidential June S-1 filing and August reaffirmation via a $7 billion tender offer, established a high base rate, while CFO Sarah Friar’s August statements shifted the timeline firmly to 2027 absent significant revenue acceleration. Secondary-market pricing near $475 billion highlights valuation dispersion, yet trader consensus prices in the potential for a record-scale offering once the $1 trillion bar is cleared, consistent with precedent large-cap tech debuts and ongoing AI capital demand. Key near-term catalysts remain limited given the extended runway.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$7,324Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation threshold, explicitly confirmed by CEO Sam Altman on September 12 as a non-negotiable precondition for any IPO, underpins the 45% market-implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 primary round of $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a confidential June S-1 filing and August reaffirmation via a $7 billion tender offer, established a high base rate, while CFO Sarah Friar’s August statements shifted the timeline firmly to 2027 absent significant revenue acceleration. Secondary-market pricing near $475 billion highlights valuation dispersion, yet trader consensus prices in the potential for a record-scale offering once the $1 trillion bar is cleared, consistent with precedent large-cap tech debuts and ongoing AI capital demand. Key near-term catalysts remain limited given the extended runway.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,324Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation threshold, explicitly confirmed by CEO Sam Altman on September 12 as a non-negotiable precondition for any IPO, underpins the 45% market-implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 primary round of $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a confidential June S-1 filing and August reaffirmation via a $7 billion tender offer, established a high base rate, while CFO Sarah Friar’s August statements shifted the timeline firmly to 2027 absent significant revenue acceleration. Secondary-market pricing near $475 billion highlights valuation dispersion, yet trader consensus prices in the potential for a record-scale offering once the $1 trillion bar is cleared, consistent with precedent large-cap tech debuts and ongoing AI capital demand. Key near-term catalysts remain limited given the extended runway.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes