Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the nomination with 78% in the May 19 primary against limited opposition and enters the November 3 general election in Idaho’s 1st District facing Democrat Kaylee Peterson, independent Sarah Zabel, and a Constitution Party candidate. The district, spanning the panhandle and western Idaho including parts of the Boise area, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, with all major forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits despite some vote splitting among challengers. The 94.8% Republican price in this market reflects the seat’s entrenched partisan lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen personal or national development capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourID-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
ID-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$48,155 Vol.
$48,155 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
4%
$48,155 Vol.
$48,155 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$32,526 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$15,629 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the nomination with 78% in the May 19 primary against limited opposition and enters the November 3 general election in Idaho’s 1st District facing Democrat Kaylee Peterson, independent Sarah Zabel, and a Constitution Party candidate. The district, spanning the panhandle and western Idaho including parts of the Boise area, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, with all major forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits despite some vote splitting among challengers. The 94.8% Republican price in this market reflects the seat’s entrenched partisan lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen personal or national development capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,155Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the nomination with 78% in the May 19 primary against limited opposition and enters the November 3 general election in Idaho’s 1st District facing Democrat Kaylee Peterson, independent Sarah Zabel, and a Constitution Party candidate. The district, spanning the panhandle and western Idaho including parts of the Boise area, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, with all major forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits despite some vote splitting among challengers. The 94.8% Republican price in this market reflects the seat’s entrenched partisan lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen personal or national development capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,155Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the nomination with 78% in the May 19 primary against limited opposition and enters the November 3 general election in Idaho’s 1st District facing Democrat Kaylee Peterson, independent Sarah Zabel, and a Constitution Party candidate. The district, spanning the panhandle and western Idaho including parts of the Boise area, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, with all major forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits despite some vote splitting among challengers. The 94.8% Republican price in this market reflects the seat’s entrenched partisan lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen personal or national development capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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