Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison

icon for IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison

Polymarket

$54,526 Vol.

Polymarket

$54,526 Vol.

Jonathan Jackson (D)

$29,976 Vol.

98%

Christian Maxwell (R)

$24,550 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating from forecasters and Jackson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur, secured her party's nomination but faces significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Professional models project Jackson winning by wide margins consistent with historical voting patterns in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter the outcome in this heavily Democratic seat.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,526
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating from forecasters and Jackson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur, secured her party's nomination but faces significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Professional models project Jackson winning by wide margins consistent with historical voting patterns in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter the outcome in this heavily Democratic seat.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,526
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre pour l'IL-02 ?

Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre pour l'IL-02 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre dans l'IL-06 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre dans l'IL-06 ?

96%
Oui
icon for Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour l'IL-12 ?

Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour l'IL-12 ?

97%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jonathan Jackson (D) » à 98%, suivi de « Christian Maxwell (R) » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison » a généré $54.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison » est « Jonathan Jackson (D) » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Christian Maxwell (R) » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.