The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois's 3rd congressional district, encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods with substantial Hispanic and urban voter blocs, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary without notable opposition and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's history of double-digit Democratic margins and limited Republican infrastructure. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking event such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unexpected Republican turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIL-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IL-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$50,666 Vol.
$50,666 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$50,666 Vol.
$50,666 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$26,642 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$24,024 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois's 3rd congressional district, encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods with substantial Hispanic and urban voter blocs, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary without notable opposition and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's history of double-digit Democratic margins and limited Republican infrastructure. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking event such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unexpected Republican turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$50,666Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois's 3rd congressional district, encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods with substantial Hispanic and urban voter blocs, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary without notable opposition and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's history of double-digit Democratic margins and limited Republican infrastructure. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking event such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unexpected Republican turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,666Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois's 3rd congressional district, encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods with substantial Hispanic and urban voter blocs, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary without notable opposition and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's history of double-digit Democratic margins and limited Republican infrastructure. No major polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking event such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or unexpected Republican turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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