Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker seeks a third term in the November 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election after winning his party's nomination unopposed. He faces Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a rematch of the 2022 contest, where Pritzker prevailed by double digits. Illinois's partisan lean, driven by strong Democratic performance in Chicago and suburban areas, combined with Pritzker's incumbency, fundraising capacity, and established campaign infrastructure, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96% Democrat probability. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary but trails in available polling. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, unexpected economic conditions, or independent candidacies altering vote splits, though structural factors have historically limited such impacts in this state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Illinois
Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Illinois
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
96%
Républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$4,580 Vol.
96%
Républicain
$4,351 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker seeks a third term in the November 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election after winning his party's nomination unopposed. He faces Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a rematch of the 2022 contest, where Pritzker prevailed by double digits. Illinois's partisan lean, driven by strong Democratic performance in Chicago and suburban areas, combined with Pritzker's incumbency, fundraising capacity, and established campaign infrastructure, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96% Democrat probability. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary but trails in available polling. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, unexpected economic conditions, or independent candidacies altering vote splits, though structural factors have historically limited such impacts in this state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$8,930Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker seeks a third term in the November 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election after winning his party's nomination unopposed. He faces Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a rematch of the 2022 contest, where Pritzker prevailed by double digits. Illinois's partisan lean, driven by strong Democratic performance in Chicago and suburban areas, combined with Pritzker's incumbency, fundraising capacity, and established campaign infrastructure, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96% Democrat probability. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary but trails in available polling. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, unexpected economic conditions, or independent candidacies altering vote splits, though structural factors have historically limited such impacts in this state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$8,930Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker seeks a third term in the November 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election after winning his party's nomination unopposed. He faces Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a rematch of the 2022 contest, where Pritzker prevailed by double digits. Illinois's partisan lean, driven by strong Democratic performance in Chicago and suburban areas, combined with Pritzker's incumbency, fundraising capacity, and established campaign infrastructure, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96% Democrat probability. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary but trails in available polling. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, unexpected economic conditions, or independent candidacies altering vote splits, though structural factors have historically limited such impacts in this state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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