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icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois
Élections·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois
Élections·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois

$24,797 Vol.

Polymarket

$24,797 Vol.

icon for Démocrate

Démocrate

$12,777 Vol.

96%

icon for Républicain

Républicain

$12,133 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois' deep Democratic lean, driven by Chicago's dominant urban vote and no Republican statewide win since 2010, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 94% to hold the open U.S. Senate seat following Dick Durbin's 2025 retirement announcement. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's March 17 primary victory, secured with Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement and superior fundraising over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, has consolidated party support against GOP nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair. Absent general election polls two months post-primaries, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid Democratic. A major Democratic scandal, suppressed turnout, or national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner through November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,797
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois' deep Democratic lean, driven by Chicago's dominant urban vote and no Republican statewide win since 2010, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 94% to hold the open U.S. Senate seat following Dick Durbin's 2025 retirement announcement. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's March 17 primary victory, secured with Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement and superior fundraising over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, has consolidated party support against GOP nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair. Absent general election polls two months post-primaries, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid Democratic. A major Democratic scandal, suppressed turnout, or national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner through November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,797
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Démocrate » à 96%, suivi de « Républicain » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois » a généré $24.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois » est « Démocrate » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Républicain » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Illinois » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.