Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson, who has held Indiana’s 7th District seat since 2008, secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote. The district, centered on Indianapolis and rated D+21 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Multiple independent forecasters classify the race as Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak face significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late personal or national event of unusual magnitude remains the primary theoretical pathway for any shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIN-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IN-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,133 Vol.
$21,133 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
5%
$21,133 Vol.
$21,133 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$7,947 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$13,185 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson, who has held Indiana’s 7th District seat since 2008, secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote. The district, centered on Indianapolis and rated D+21 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Multiple independent forecasters classify the race as Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak face significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late personal or national event of unusual magnitude remains the primary theoretical pathway for any shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,133Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson, who has held Indiana’s 7th District seat since 2008, secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote. The district, centered on Indianapolis and rated D+21 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Multiple independent forecasters classify the race as Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak face significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late personal or national event of unusual magnitude remains the primary theoretical pathway for any shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,133Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson, who has held Indiana’s 7th District seat since 2008, secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote. The district, centered on Indianapolis and rated D+21 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Multiple independent forecasters classify the race as Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak face significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late personal or national event of unusual magnitude remains the primary theoretical pathway for any shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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