Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with July investor meetings led by its CFO and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, has driven trader consensus toward an October 2026 IPO at 57.5% implied probability. The large language model developer’s rapid revenue growth and competitive positioning in the AI sector support a near-term listing once the typical three-to-six-month regulatory review concludes, though final timing remains subject to market conditions and SEC feedback. November follows at 11.5% as a plausible alternative if reviews extend or volatility rises, while later 2026 and 2027 months reflect lower odds tied to potential delays or shifts in AI valuations. Traders are closely watching fall roadshow developments for resolution signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOctobre 2026 57%
Novembre 2026 12%
Septembre 2026 10%
Décembre 2026 6%
Septembre 2026
10%
Octobre 2026
57%
Novembre 2026
12%
Décembre 2026
6%
Janvier 2027
6%
Février 2027
6%
Mars 2027
5%
Avril 2027
4%
Mai 2027
5%
Juin 2027
6%
Juillet 2027
4%
Août 2027
4%
Septembre 2027
4%
Octobre 2027
1%
Novembre 2027
4%
Décembre 2027
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
5%
Octobre 2026 57%
Novembre 2026 12%
Septembre 2026 10%
Décembre 2026 6%
Septembre 2026
10%
Octobre 2026
57%
Novembre 2026
12%
Décembre 2026
6%
Janvier 2027
6%
Février 2027
6%
Mars 2027
5%
Avril 2027
4%
Mai 2027
5%
Juin 2027
6%
Juillet 2027
4%
Août 2027
4%
Septembre 2027
4%
Octobre 2027
1%
Novembre 2027
4%
Décembre 2027
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
5%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with July investor meetings led by its CFO and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, has driven trader consensus toward an October 2026 IPO at 57.5% implied probability. The large language model developer’s rapid revenue growth and competitive positioning in the AI sector support a near-term listing once the typical three-to-six-month regulatory review concludes, though final timing remains subject to market conditions and SEC feedback. November follows at 11.5% as a plausible alternative if reviews extend or volatility rises, while later 2026 and 2027 months reflect lower odds tied to potential delays or shifts in AI valuations. Traders are closely watching fall roadshow developments for resolution signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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