Iowa's open Senate seat, following incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in the November 3 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary support and key endorsements, benefiting from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and superior fundraising totals. Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary and has narrowed the gap in recent polling, drawing on his profile to challenge in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages. Aggregates show Hinson with a modest edge consistent with historical voting patterns, though the race remains among the more contested Senate contests and could shift with campaign developments or turnout dynamics before Election Day. Trader consensus on these nominees reflects that balance of partisan fundamentals and competitive indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Iowa
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Iowa
$176,069 Vol.
$176,069 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$176,069 Vol.
$176,069 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$86,983 Vol.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,086 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, following incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in the November 3 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary support and key endorsements, benefiting from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and superior fundraising totals. Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary and has narrowed the gap in recent polling, drawing on his profile to challenge in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages. Aggregates show Hinson with a modest edge consistent with historical voting patterns, though the race remains among the more contested Senate contests and could shift with campaign developments or turnout dynamics before Election Day. Trader consensus on these nominees reflects that balance of partisan fundamentals and competitive indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$176,069Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, following incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in the November 3 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary support and key endorsements, benefiting from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and superior fundraising totals. Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary and has narrowed the gap in recent polling, drawing on his profile to challenge in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages. Aggregates show Hinson with a modest edge consistent with historical voting patterns, though the race remains among the more contested Senate contests and could shift with campaign developments or turnout dynamics before Election Day. Trader consensus on these nominees reflects that balance of partisan fundamentals and competitive indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$176,069Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, following incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in the November 3 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary support and key endorsements, benefiting from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and superior fundraising totals. Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary and has narrowed the gap in recent polling, drawing on his profile to challenge in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages. Aggregates show Hinson with a modest edge consistent with historical voting patterns, though the race remains among the more contested Senate contests and could shift with campaign developments or turnout dynamics before Election Day. Trader consensus on these nominees reflects that balance of partisan fundamentals and competitive indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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