The 2026 Israeli legislative election on October 27 features the revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad, which reached a candidate agreement in August after prior splits and submitted its slate in early September. Recent polling averages place the list at 6–8 seats, with the 8–9 range as the modal outcome in trader consensus due to the alliance’s expected boost in Arab voter turnout and surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am. Stable results across September surveys reflect consistent support levels near the historical 6–8 seat band for similar configurations, tempered by the 3.25% threshold and separate Ra’am candidacy. No major shifts have altered these projections in the past week, though late campaign dynamics or disqualification proceedings could still affect final seat allocation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8-9 42%
<6 19%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<6
19%
6-7
22%
8-9
42%
10-11
18%
12+
3%
8-9 42%
<6 19%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<6
$310 Vol.
19%
6-7
$216 Vol.
22%
8-9
$1,702 Vol.
42%
10-11
$275 Vol.
18%
12+
$360 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The 2026 Israeli legislative election on October 27 features the revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad, which reached a candidate agreement in August after prior splits and submitted its slate in early September. Recent polling averages place the list at 6–8 seats, with the 8–9 range as the modal outcome in trader consensus due to the alliance’s expected boost in Arab voter turnout and surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am. Stable results across September surveys reflect consistent support levels near the historical 6–8 seat band for similar configurations, tempered by the 3.25% threshold and separate Ra’am candidacy. No major shifts have altered these projections in the past week, though late campaign dynamics or disqualification proceedings could still affect final seat allocation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$2,862Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The 2026 Israeli legislative election on October 27 features the revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad, which reached a candidate agreement in August after prior splits and submitted its slate in early September. Recent polling averages place the list at 6–8 seats, with the 8–9 range as the modal outcome in trader consensus due to the alliance’s expected boost in Arab voter turnout and surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am. Stable results across September surveys reflect consistent support levels near the historical 6–8 seat band for similar configurations, tempered by the 3.25% threshold and separate Ra’am candidacy. No major shifts have altered these projections in the past week, though late campaign dynamics or disqualification proceedings could still affect final seat allocation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$2,862Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Israeli legislative election on October 27 features the revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad, which reached a candidate agreement in August after prior splits and submitted its slate in early September. Recent polling averages place the list at 6–8 seats, with the 8–9 range as the modal outcome in trader consensus due to the alliance’s expected boost in Arab voter turnout and surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am. Stable results across September surveys reflect consistent support levels near the historical 6–8 seat band for similar configurations, tempered by the 3.25% threshold and separate Ra’am candidacy. No major shifts have altered these projections in the past week, though late campaign dynamics or disqualification proceedings could still affect final seat allocation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes