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icon for Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ?

Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ?

icon for Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ?

Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ?

6-7 33%

8-9 26%

4-5 16%

10+ 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

6-7 33%

8-9 26%

4-5 16%

10+ 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<4

$634 Vol.

2%

4-5

$1,192 Vol.

16%

6-7

$914 Vol.

33%

8-9

$1,528 Vol.

26%

10+

$242 Vol.

17%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow 6–9 seat range ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset vote, producing the tightest clustering between the 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes. Consistent survey results from mid-September show the party drawing steady support within the broader right-wing bloc while facing disqualification petitions from the Democrats and reciprocal filings that remain unresolved by the Central Elections Committee. Adjustments to its candidate slate, including the addition of a Chareidi candidate in early September, have not yet shifted the polling band. Trader pricing therefore tracks these averages closely, with modest separation possible from final list rulings, differential turnout in key voter segments, or late security developments that could consolidate or erode right-wing support before election day.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$4,510
Date de fin
27 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow 6–9 seat range ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset vote, producing the tightest clustering between the 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes. Consistent survey results from mid-September show the party drawing steady support within the broader right-wing bloc while facing disqualification petitions from the Democrats and reciprocal filings that remain unresolved by the Central Elections Committee. Adjustments to its candidate slate, including the addition of a Chareidi candidate in early September, have not yet shifted the polling band. Trader pricing therefore tracks these averages closely, with modest separation possible from final list rulings, differential turnout in key voter segments, or late security developments that could consolidate or erode right-wing support before election day.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$4,510
Date de fin
27 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 6-7 » à 33%, suivi de « 8-9 » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ? » est « 6-7 » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 8-9 » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection en Israël : Otzma # de sièges ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.