Recent Israeli polls place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, at roughly 6–8 Knesset seats, corresponding to a vote share centered in the low-to-mid 6 percent range. This positioning reflects steady far-right support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc, where the party has maintained its base despite competition from lists such as Religious Zionism-Zehut and Ofer Winter’s new slate. The most recent surveys, conducted September 7–8, show the party holding or slightly gaining ground even as the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the opposition. Trader consensus around 5.5–6.5 percent aligns with these seat projections and the limited volatility observed in Otzma Yehudit’s polling over the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour7,5 %+ 47%
5,5-6,5 % 41%
<4,5 % 30%
6,5-7,5 % 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<4,5 %
30%
4,5-5,5 %
22%
5,5-6,5 %
56%
6,5-7,5 %
28%
7,5 %+
47%
7,5 %+ 47%
5,5-6,5 % 41%
<4,5 % 30%
6,5-7,5 % 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<4,5 %
$0 Vol.
30%
4,5-5,5 %
$0 Vol.
22%
5,5-6,5 %
$13 Vol.
56%
6,5-7,5 %
$0 Vol.
28%
7,5 %+
$0 Vol.
47%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polls place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, at roughly 6–8 Knesset seats, corresponding to a vote share centered in the low-to-mid 6 percent range. This positioning reflects steady far-right support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc, where the party has maintained its base despite competition from lists such as Religious Zionism-Zehut and Ofer Winter’s new slate. The most recent surveys, conducted September 7–8, show the party holding or slightly gaining ground even as the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the opposition. Trader consensus around 5.5–6.5 percent aligns with these seat projections and the limited volatility observed in Otzma Yehudit’s polling over the past month.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$13Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polls place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, at roughly 6–8 Knesset seats, corresponding to a vote share centered in the low-to-mid 6 percent range. This positioning reflects steady far-right support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc, where the party has maintained its base despite competition from lists such as Religious Zionism-Zehut and Ofer Winter’s new slate. The most recent surveys, conducted September 7–8, show the party holding or slightly gaining ground even as the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the opposition. Trader consensus around 5.5–6.5 percent aligns with these seat projections and the limited volatility observed in Otzma Yehudit’s polling over the past month.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$13Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, at roughly 6–8 Knesset seats, corresponding to a vote share centered in the low-to-mid 6 percent range. This positioning reflects steady far-right support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc, where the party has maintained its base despite competition from lists such as Religious Zionism-Zehut and Ofer Winter’s new slate. The most recent surveys, conducted September 7–8, show the party holding or slightly gaining ground even as the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the opposition. Trader consensus around 5.5–6.5 percent aligns with these seat projections and the limited volatility observed in Otzma Yehudit’s polling over the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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