Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election places Ra'am's projected vote share tightly between roughly 4% and 5.5%, reflecting consistent survey results of 4–6 seats. Ra'am is running independently after separating from the Joint List while signing a surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al to minimize wasted votes. Inclusion of a Jewish candidate on its slate and efforts to broaden appeal beyond its traditional base have produced modest gains in some surveys, offset by disqualification petitions from right-wing parties and uncertainty over Arab-sector turnout. Coalition speculation involving centrist and opposition leaders adds volatility, as does the party's pragmatic positioning. Late-campaign mobilization, final polling shifts, or rulings on eligibility could widen the range before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour4-4,75 % 33%
3,25-4 % 25%
4,75-5,5 % 18%
<3,25 % 15%
<3,25 %
15%
3,25-4 %
19%
4-4,75 %
35%
4,75-5,5 %
33%
5,5 %+
5%
4-4,75 % 33%
3,25-4 % 25%
4,75-5,5 % 18%
<3,25 % 15%
<3,25 %
15%
3,25-4 %
19%
4-4,75 %
35%
4,75-5,5 %
33%
5,5 %+
5%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Source de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election places Ra'am's projected vote share tightly between roughly 4% and 5.5%, reflecting consistent survey results of 4–6 seats. Ra'am is running independently after separating from the Joint List while signing a surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al to minimize wasted votes. Inclusion of a Jewish candidate on its slate and efforts to broaden appeal beyond its traditional base have produced modest gains in some surveys, offset by disqualification petitions from right-wing parties and uncertainty over Arab-sector turnout. Coalition speculation involving centrist and opposition leaders adds volatility, as does the party's pragmatic positioning. Late-campaign mobilization, final polling shifts, or rulings on eligibility could widen the range before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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