Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 22–25 seat range. Yashar has maintained a narrow lead or tie with Likud in most September surveys, reflecting Eisenkot’s profile as a former IDF chief and the party’s emphasis on a state inquiry into the October 7 attacks alongside domestic reforms. Surplus-vote pacts with The Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list and smaller threshold parties have kept bloc math fluid, with neither Netanyahu’s nor the opposition alliance consistently reaching 61 seats. Late-campaign turnout among centrist and Arab voters, plus any final list adjustments before the September 27 ballot deadline, remain the main variables that could shift Yashar’s final tally within the narrow band traders currently price highest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour24-25 40%
22-23 29%
26-27 16%
20-21 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<20
5%
20-21
14%
22-23
29%
24-25
41%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
7%
24-25 40%
22-23 29%
26-27 16%
20-21 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<20
$232 Vol.
5%
20-21
$442 Vol.
14%
22-23
$802 Vol.
29%
24-25
$847 Vol.
41%
26-27
$698 Vol.
16%
28-29
$301 Vol.
5%
30+
$5,796 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 22–25 seat range. Yashar has maintained a narrow lead or tie with Likud in most September surveys, reflecting Eisenkot’s profile as a former IDF chief and the party’s emphasis on a state inquiry into the October 7 attacks alongside domestic reforms. Surplus-vote pacts with The Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list and smaller threshold parties have kept bloc math fluid, with neither Netanyahu’s nor the opposition alliance consistently reaching 61 seats. Late-campaign turnout among centrist and Arab voters, plus any final list adjustments before the September 27 ballot deadline, remain the main variables that could shift Yashar’s final tally within the narrow band traders currently price highest.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$9,119Date de fin
30 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 22–25 seat range. Yashar has maintained a narrow lead or tie with Likud in most September surveys, reflecting Eisenkot’s profile as a former IDF chief and the party’s emphasis on a state inquiry into the October 7 attacks alongside domestic reforms. Surplus-vote pacts with The Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list and smaller threshold parties have kept bloc math fluid, with neither Netanyahu’s nor the opposition alliance consistently reaching 61 seats. Late-campaign turnout among centrist and Arab voters, plus any final list adjustments before the September 27 ballot deadline, remain the main variables that could shift Yashar’s final tally within the narrow band traders currently price highest.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$9,119Date de fin
30 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 22–25 seat range. Yashar has maintained a narrow lead or tie with Likud in most September surveys, reflecting Eisenkot’s profile as a former IDF chief and the party’s emphasis on a state inquiry into the October 7 attacks alongside domestic reforms. Surplus-vote pacts with The Democrats and competition from Bennett-Lapid’s Together list and smaller threshold parties have kept bloc math fluid, with neither Netanyahu’s nor the opposition alliance consistently reaching 61 seats. Late-campaign turnout among centrist and Arab voters, plus any final list adjustments before the September 27 ballot deadline, remain the main variables that could shift Yashar’s final tally within the narrow band traders currently price highest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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