**Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–10 seats across multiple surveys released in mid-September, consistent with a vote share centered in the 6–8% range.** The party's core support among secular and Russian-speaking voters has remained stable, with leader Avigdor Liberman's public emphasis on universal conscription and opposition to yeshiva exemptions reinforcing its traditional positioning without shifting broader trends. Surplus-vote agreements signed in early September and the absence of major new alliances or scandals have kept its trajectory steady. Traders' heaviest weighting on 6–7% and secondary support for 7–8% reflect this consistent polling band, while lower probabilities on sub-5% or 8%+ outcomes account for the limited volatility seen in recent data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour6-7 % 34%
7-8 % 23%
<5 % 19%
5-6 % 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<5 %
19%
5-6 %
19%
6-7 %
32%
7-8 %
23%
8 %+
17%
6-7 % 34%
7-8 % 23%
<5 % 19%
5-6 % 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<5 %
$824 Vol.
19%
5-6 %
$119 Vol.
19%
6-7 %
$208 Vol.
32%
7-8 %
$132 Vol.
23%
8 %+
$47 Vol.
17%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–10 seats across multiple surveys released in mid-September, consistent with a vote share centered in the 6–8% range.** The party's core support among secular and Russian-speaking voters has remained stable, with leader Avigdor Liberman's public emphasis on universal conscription and opposition to yeshiva exemptions reinforcing its traditional positioning without shifting broader trends. Surplus-vote agreements signed in early September and the absence of major new alliances or scandals have kept its trajectory steady. Traders' heaviest weighting on 6–7% and secondary support for 7–8% reflect this consistent polling band, while lower probabilities on sub-5% or 8%+ outcomes account for the limited volatility seen in recent data.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,329Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–10 seats across multiple surveys released in mid-September, consistent with a vote share centered in the 6–8% range.** The party's core support among secular and Russian-speaking voters has remained stable, with leader Avigdor Liberman's public emphasis on universal conscription and opposition to yeshiva exemptions reinforcing its traditional positioning without shifting broader trends. Surplus-vote agreements signed in early September and the absence of major new alliances or scandals have kept its trajectory steady. Traders' heaviest weighting on 6–7% and secondary support for 7–8% reflect this consistent polling band, while lower probabilities on sub-5% or 8%+ outcomes account for the limited volatility seen in recent data.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,329Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–10 seats across multiple surveys released in mid-September, consistent with a vote share centered in the 6–8% range.** The party's core support among secular and Russian-speaking voters has remained stable, with leader Avigdor Liberman's public emphasis on universal conscription and opposition to yeshiva exemptions reinforcing its traditional positioning without shifting broader trends. Surplus-vote agreements signed in early September and the absence of major new alliances or scandals have kept its trajectory steady. Traders' heaviest weighting on 6–7% and secondary support for 7–8% reflect this consistent polling band, while lower probabilities on sub-5% or 8%+ outcomes account for the limited volatility seen in recent data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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