**Israeli legislative elections on October 27, 2026, feature a tight contest between Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud and Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party, with polls showing both around 21–23 seats and neither bloc approaching the 61-seat Knesset majority.** Recent surveys indicate the Netanyahu-aligned bloc (including Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism-Zehut) has narrowed or slightly overtaken the Zionist opposition bloc amid heightened focus on security issues, contributing to traders assigning Likud a modest edge. Yashar, which had led earlier polling averages, has seen some erosion in support over recent weeks while remaining competitive through Eisenkot’s appeal on security and governance. Fragmented smaller parties, Arab lists, and potential kingmakers like the Reservists-Economic Party sustain uncertainty in coalition math and the largest-party outcome. Late shifts in turnout, security developments, or voter mobilization among swing groups could still alter the final seat distribution before election day.