Kansas's open-seat gubernatorial contest favors the Republican nominee following the August 4, 2026, primaries, where state Senate President Ty Masterson secured the GOP nod and state Representative Cindy Holscher won the Democratic primary. The state's consistent Republican lean in statewide races, combined with term limits ending Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly's tenure, underpins trader consensus that the GOP holds the advantage heading into the November 3 general election. Models currently project a modest Republican edge consistent with historical base rates for the party in Kansas, though no general-election polling has emerged yet to test voter response to the nominees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,060 Vol.
$20,060 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
66%
Démocrate
34%
$20,060 Vol.
$20,060 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$10,591 Vol.
66%
Démocrate
$9,469 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's open-seat gubernatorial contest favors the Republican nominee following the August 4, 2026, primaries, where state Senate President Ty Masterson secured the GOP nod and state Representative Cindy Holscher won the Democratic primary. The state's consistent Republican lean in statewide races, combined with term limits ending Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly's tenure, underpins trader consensus that the GOP holds the advantage heading into the November 3 general election. Models currently project a modest Republican edge consistent with historical base rates for the party in Kansas, though no general-election polling has emerged yet to test voter response to the nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$20,060Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's open-seat gubernatorial contest favors the Republican nominee following the August 4, 2026, primaries, where state Senate President Ty Masterson secured the GOP nod and state Representative Cindy Holscher won the Democratic primary. The state's consistent Republican lean in statewide races, combined with term limits ending Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly's tenure, underpins trader consensus that the GOP holds the advantage heading into the November 3 general election. Models currently project a modest Republican edge consistent with historical base rates for the party in Kansas, though no general-election polling has emerged yet to test voter response to the nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,060Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's open-seat gubernatorial contest favors the Republican nominee following the August 4, 2026, primaries, where state Senate President Ty Masterson secured the GOP nod and state Representative Cindy Holscher won the Democratic primary. The state's consistent Republican lean in statewide races, combined with term limits ending Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly's tenure, underpins trader consensus that the GOP holds the advantage heading into the November 3 general election. Models currently project a modest Republican edge consistent with historical base rates for the party in Kansas, though no general-election polling has emerged yet to test voter response to the nominees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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