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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung

Lai Jui-lung 81%

Ko Chih-en 13.4%

Hsu Chih-chieh 5.0%

Chiu Yi-ying 4.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lai Jui-lung 81%

Ko Chih-en 13.4%

Hsu Chih-chieh 5.0%

Chiu Yi-ying 4.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$1,083 Vol.

81%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$91 Vol.

13%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$135 Vol.

5%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$81 Vol.

4%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$83 Vol.

2%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$87 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds an 81% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kaohsiung mayoral market, reflecting his status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a January 2026 primary victory over Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent surveys through mid-2026 show him maintaining consistent leads over Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en, who sits at 15.9%, across demographics and districts. With voting scheduled for November 28, 2026, the trader consensus appears anchored in established party support patterns and polling trends for this special municipality race, while lower probabilities for additional named candidates and the broad "Other" category at 50% align with limited indications of viable alternatives emerging at this stage.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,559
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds an 81% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kaohsiung mayoral market, reflecting his status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a January 2026 primary victory over Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent surveys through mid-2026 show him maintaining consistent leads over Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en, who sits at 15.9%, across demographics and districts. With voting scheduled for November 28, 2026, the trader consensus appears anchored in established party support patterns and polling trends for this special municipality race, while lower probabilities for additional named candidates and the broad "Other" category at 50% align with limited indications of viable alternatives emerging at this stage.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,559
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

91%
Oui
icon for Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

78%
Oui
icon for Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

89%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lai Jui-lung » à 81%, suivi de « Ko Chih-en » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 81¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » est « Lai Jui-lung » à 81%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ko Chih-en » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.