SpaceX's completed June 12, 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise has established it as the clear leader, driving its 89.5% implied probability as the year's largest by market cap. The listing exceeded prior records like Saudi Aramco's, with shares later pushing the market cap above $2 trillion amid strong institutional demand. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February 2026 all-stock acquisition and integration into SpaceX, effectively consolidating AI assets under the same public entity. In contrast, candidates like Anthropic (targeting an October debut at sub-$1 trillion scale) and others lack comparable filings, revenue trajectories, or regulatory momentum to challenge the outcome, leaving limited room for shifts before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa plus grande introduction en bourse par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
La plus grande introduction en bourse par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 8.3%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,193,700 Vol.
$5,193,700 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
SpaceX
90%
Anthropic
8%
OpenAI
1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 8.3%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,193,700 Vol.
$5,193,700 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
SpaceX
$601,131 Vol.
90%
Anthropic
$716,443 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$460,493 Vol.
1%
Discord
$176,728 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$208,389 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$128,175 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$654,953 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$580,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$613,052 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 12, 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise has established it as the clear leader, driving its 89.5% implied probability as the year's largest by market cap. The listing exceeded prior records like Saudi Aramco's, with shares later pushing the market cap above $2 trillion amid strong institutional demand. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February 2026 all-stock acquisition and integration into SpaceX, effectively consolidating AI assets under the same public entity. In contrast, candidates like Anthropic (targeting an October debut at sub-$1 trillion scale) and others lack comparable filings, revenue trajectories, or regulatory momentum to challenge the outcome, leaving limited room for shifts before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$5,193,700Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 12, 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise has established it as the clear leader, driving its 89.5% implied probability as the year's largest by market cap. The listing exceeded prior records like Saudi Aramco's, with shares later pushing the market cap above $2 trillion amid strong institutional demand. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February 2026 all-stock acquisition and integration into SpaceX, effectively consolidating AI assets under the same public entity. In contrast, candidates like Anthropic (targeting an October debut at sub-$1 trillion scale) and others lack comparable filings, revenue trajectories, or regulatory momentum to challenge the outcome, leaving limited room for shifts before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$5,193,700Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's completed June 12, 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise has established it as the clear leader, driving its 89.5% implied probability as the year's largest by market cap. The listing exceeded prior records like Saudi Aramco's, with shares later pushing the market cap above $2 trillion amid strong institutional demand. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February 2026 all-stock acquisition and integration into SpaceX, effectively consolidating AI assets under the same public entity. In contrast, candidates like Anthropic (targeting an October debut at sub-$1 trillion scale) and others lack comparable filings, revenue trajectories, or regulatory momentum to challenge the outcome, leaving limited room for shifts before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l’introduction en bourse de Ledger supérieure à 1 milliard de dollars ?
31%
Oui
Stripe n'aura-t-elle pas fait son introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
46%
Oui
La valorisation de Revolut atteindra-t-elle (HAUT) 125 milliards de dollars d'ici le 31 décembre ?
86%
Oui
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