Goldman Sachs holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds for lead-left bookrunner on Anthropic’s IPO, reflecting its recent capture of the same role on SpaceX and entrenched position in large-cap technology offerings, while Morgan Stanley trails closely after both banks were formally selected in early June 2026 to lead the deal alongside JPMorgan. Anthropic confidentially filed with the SEC on June 1 and has scheduled investor meetings ahead of a potential October Nasdaq listing that could exceed $60 billion; the contest centers on which firm secures the prominent left position on the prospectus, a designation that typically commands the largest economics and allocations. With no material updates reported since mid-July, positioning remains driven by the banks’ comparable tech-IPO track records and the issuer’s preference for balanced top-tier coverage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoldman Sachs 56%
Morgan Stanley 41%
JPMorgan 4.7%
Bank of America <1%
$46,951 Vol.
$46,951 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
41%
Goldman Sachs
56%
JPMorgan
5%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 56%
Morgan Stanley 41%
JPMorgan 4.7%
Bank of America <1%
$46,951 Vol.
$46,951 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
41%
Goldman Sachs
56%
JPMorgan
5%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds for lead-left bookrunner on Anthropic’s IPO, reflecting its recent capture of the same role on SpaceX and entrenched position in large-cap technology offerings, while Morgan Stanley trails closely after both banks were formally selected in early June 2026 to lead the deal alongside JPMorgan. Anthropic confidentially filed with the SEC on June 1 and has scheduled investor meetings ahead of a potential October Nasdaq listing that could exceed $60 billion; the contest centers on which firm secures the prominent left position on the prospectus, a designation that typically commands the largest economics and allocations. With no material updates reported since mid-July, positioning remains driven by the banks’ comparable tech-IPO track records and the issuer’s preference for balanced top-tier coverage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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