South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the opposition’s limited ability to secure the necessary votes absent cross-party defections. Lee’s approval ratings, while declining to the mid-to-low 40s in recent Realmeter polls amid policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, remain within historical ranges that have not triggered removal efforts. No major scandals, legislative standoffs, or electoral reversals have emerged in the past month to alter this dynamic. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the president completing his term through the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLee Jae-myung mis en accusation avant 2027 ?
Lee Jae-myung mis en accusation avant 2027 ?
Oui
7% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the opposition’s limited ability to secure the necessary votes absent cross-party defections. Lee’s approval ratings, while declining to the mid-to-low 40s in recent Realmeter polls amid policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, remain within historical ranges that have not triggered removal efforts. No major scandals, legislative standoffs, or electoral reversals have emerged in the past month to alter this dynamic. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the president completing his term through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$19,133Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the opposition’s limited ability to secure the necessary votes absent cross-party defections. Lee’s approval ratings, while declining to the mid-to-low 40s in recent Realmeter polls amid policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, remain within historical ranges that have not triggered removal efforts. No major scandals, legislative standoffs, or electoral reversals have emerged in the past month to alter this dynamic. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the president completing his term through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,133Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the opposition’s limited ability to secure the necessary votes absent cross-party defections. Lee’s approval ratings, while declining to the mid-to-low 40s in recent Realmeter polls amid policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, remain within historical ranges that have not triggered removal efforts. No major scandals, legislative standoffs, or electoral reversals have emerged in the past month to alter this dynamic. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the president completing his term through the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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