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Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

icon for Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

déc. 31

déc. 31

9% chance
Polymarket

$16,997 Vol.

9% chance
Polymarket

$16,997 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, maintains strong institutional footing one year into his term.** His Democratic Party secured decisive gains in the June 2026 local elections, capturing most governorships and mayoralties while approval ratings have held near or above 60 percent in multiple polls. No active impeachment motions, eligibility challenges, or credible resignation pressures have surfaced. South Korea’s constitution requires a two-thirds National Assembly vote plus Constitutional Court confirmation for removal, a threshold the ruling party’s majority and cross-aisle dynamics make difficult to reach absent major new catalysts. Traders price the “No” outcome at roughly 89 percent because these factors align with patterns where early-term presidents with comparable support complete their initial years without successful proceedings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$16,997
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, maintains strong institutional footing one year into his term.** His Democratic Party secured decisive gains in the June 2026 local elections, capturing most governorships and mayoralties while approval ratings have held near or above 60 percent in multiple polls. No active impeachment motions, eligibility challenges, or credible resignation pressures have surfaced. South Korea’s constitution requires a two-thirds National Assembly vote plus Constitutional Court confirmation for removal, a threshold the ruling party’s majority and cross-aisle dynamics make difficult to reach absent major new catalysts. Traders price the “No” outcome at roughly 89 percent because these factors align with patterns where early-term presidents with comparable support complete their initial years without successful proceedings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$16,997
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 9% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 9¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 9% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? » a généré $17K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? » est de 9% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 9% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.