**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110.** South Korea’s constitution requires an impeachment motion to secure a simple majority to propose it and a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) to pass the Assembly before reaching the Constitutional Court. The current seat distribution makes this threshold unreachable absent large-scale defections from the ruling party, which have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for impeachment collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but observers noted it had negligible prospects of legislative action due to the DPK majority. Lee’s approval rating fell below 50 percent in mid-2026 amid local-election controversies, real-estate policy criticism, and economic concerns, before stabilizing near 45 percent in August 2026 polls; these figures have not triggered sustained cross-party momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following inauguration. No recent verified developments—such as new charges, major scandals, or opposition coalitions approaching the required votes—have altered the structural barrier. Traders therefore price a high probability that Lee completes his term through the end of 2026 without facing successful impeachment proceedings.