**Newly promoted sides Troyes and Le Mans face the steepest challenges in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season after strong Ligue 2 campaigns, with limited transfer activity, loss of key attackers, and modest squad valuations leaving them short on depth against established sides.** Models from Opta and others assign Le Mans the highest relegation probability (around 50-76% in simulations), followed closely by Troyes, due to their return after long absences and thin resources. Angers, despite a 13th-place finish in 2025-26, projects near the bottom amid squad turnover and coaching shifts, while Le Havre and Nice also appear vulnerable based on recent form and defensive issues. Early matchday results and the long 34-game schedule will test these teams' ability to adapt quickly, with the bottom two facing automatic relegation and 16th entering playoffs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNice
50%
Auxerre
50%
Toulouse
50%
Paris Saint-Germain
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
50%
Angers
50%
Brest
50%
Le Havre
50%
Le Mans
50%
Lens
50%
Lille
50%
Lorient
50%
Lyon
50%
Marseille
50%
Monaco
50%
Paris FC
50%
Rennes
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Nice
50%
Auxerre
50%
Toulouse
50%
Paris Saint-Germain
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
50%
Angers
50%
Brest
50%
Le Havre
50%
Le Mans
50%
Lens
50%
Lille
50%
Lorient
50%
Lyon
50%
Marseille
50%
Monaco
50%
Paris FC
50%
Rennes
50%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Newly promoted sides Troyes and Le Mans face the steepest challenges in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season after strong Ligue 2 campaigns, with limited transfer activity, loss of key attackers, and modest squad valuations leaving them short on depth against established sides.** Models from Opta and others assign Le Mans the highest relegation probability (around 50-76% in simulations), followed closely by Troyes, due to their return after long absences and thin resources. Angers, despite a 13th-place finish in 2025-26, projects near the bottom amid squad turnover and coaching shifts, while Le Havre and Nice also appear vulnerable based on recent form and defensive issues. Early matchday results and the long 34-game schedule will test these teams' ability to adapt quickly, with the bottom two facing automatic relegation and 16th entering playoffs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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