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icon for Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Élection municipale de Los Angeles

icon for Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Karen Bass 54%

Spencer Pratt 25%

Nithya Raman 17%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$1,723,239 Vol.

Karen Bass 54%

Spencer Pratt 25%

Nithya Raman 17%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$1,723,239 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$61,876 Vol.

54%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$735,901 Vol.

25%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$87,158 Vol.

17%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$113,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$71,270 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$62,901 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$14,788 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$14,636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$439,882 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$95,336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$26,071 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, buoyed by incumbency advantage and established Democratic support amid a nonpartisan primary field of over a dozen candidates. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt has surged to 25% following his fiery May 6 debate performance against Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman (17.5%), where he hammered failures in wildfire response—citing his Pacific Palisades home loss—and LAFD budget cuts under Bass that reportedly left hydrants dry. Viral campaign ads and celebrity endorsements have fueled Pratt's outsider momentum on homelessness and public safety, while Raman appeals to progressive voters; the primary will narrow contenders before the November general.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,723,239
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, buoyed by incumbency advantage and established Democratic support amid a nonpartisan primary field of over a dozen candidates. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt has surged to 25% following his fiery May 6 debate performance against Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman (17.5%), where he hammered failures in wildfire response—citing his Pacific Palisades home loss—and LAFD budget cuts under Bass that reportedly left hydrants dry. Viral campaign ads and celebrity endorsements have fueled Pratt's outsider momentum on homelessness and public safety, while Raman appeals to progressive voters; the primary will narrow contenders before the November general.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,723,239
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection municipale de Los Angeles » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Karen Bass » à 54%, suivi de « Spencer Pratt » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » a généré $1.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 9, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection municipale de Los Angeles », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » est « Karen Bass » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Spencer Pratt » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.