Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
24°C 75%
23°C 24%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
$24,212 Vol.
$24,212 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
24%
24°C
75%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 75%
23°C 24%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
$24,212 Vol.
$24,212 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
24%
24°C
75%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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