Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?
24°C 94.6%
23°C 5.7%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$20,920 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,920 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
95%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 94.6%
23°C 5.7%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$20,920 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,920 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
18°C or below
$1,485 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,687 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,462 Vol.
6%
24°C
$5,982 Vol.
95%
25°C
$2,418 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$588 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,707 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,920Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,920Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes