Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 62.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Richard Neal, seeking another term after serving since 2013 and chairing the Ways and Means Committee, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen on September 1 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment and no major recent developments altering the balance. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$51,836 Vol.
$51,836 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
6%
$51,836 Vol.
$51,836 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$8,587 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$43,249 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 62.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Richard Neal, seeking another term after serving since 2013 and chairing the Ways and Means Committee, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen on September 1 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment and no major recent developments altering the balance. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$51,836Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 62.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Richard Neal, seeking another term after serving since 2013 and chairing the Ways and Means Committee, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen on September 1 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment and no major recent developments altering the balance. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,836Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 62.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Richard Neal, seeking another term after serving since 2013 and chairing the Ways and Means Committee, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen on September 1 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment and no major recent developments altering the balance. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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