Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader expectations for the 2026 general election outcome. Massachusetts' 2nd district encompasses central areas including Worcester, where primary and general election polling shows McGovern maintaining substantial leads over limited Republican opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins, fundraising, and the absence of major competitive challengers entering the September primary or November contest. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates structural barriers remain significant.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$49,803 Vol.
$49,803 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$49,803 Vol.
$49,803 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$32,718 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$17,085 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader expectations for the 2026 general election outcome. Massachusetts' 2nd district encompasses central areas including Worcester, where primary and general election polling shows McGovern maintaining substantial leads over limited Republican opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins, fundraising, and the absence of major competitive challengers entering the September primary or November contest. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates structural barriers remain significant.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,803Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader expectations for the 2026 general election outcome. Massachusetts' 2nd district encompasses central areas including Worcester, where primary and general election polling shows McGovern maintaining substantial leads over limited Republican opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins, fundraising, and the absence of major competitive challengers entering the September primary or November contest. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates structural barriers remain significant.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,803Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns anchor trader expectations for the 2026 general election outcome. Massachusetts' 2nd district encompasses central areas including Worcester, where primary and general election polling shows McGovern maintaining substantial leads over limited Republican opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins, fundraising, and the absence of major competitive challengers entering the September primary or November contest. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence indicates structural barriers remain significant.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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