Massachusetts's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Katherine Clark, a senior House Democrat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. All nine Massachusetts House seats are currently held by Democrats, with the last Republican victory statewide dating back decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout, redistricting changes, or a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$37,214 Vol.
$37,214 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
3%
$37,214 Vol.
$37,214 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$26,705 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$10,509 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Katherine Clark, a senior House Democrat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. All nine Massachusetts House seats are currently held by Democrats, with the last Republican victory statewide dating back decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout, redistricting changes, or a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,214Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Katherine Clark, a senior House Democrat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. All nine Massachusetts House seats are currently held by Democrats, with the last Republican victory statewide dating back decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout, redistricting changes, or a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,214Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Katherine Clark, a senior House Democrat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. All nine Massachusetts House seats are currently held by Democrats, with the last Republican victory statewide dating back decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout, redistricting changes, or a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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