France's fragmented National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling political instability with multiple prime ministerial turnovers and a government that barely survived no-confidence votes on the 2026 budget in January. Macron's presidency, however, enjoys constitutional safeguards under the Fifth Republic, locking in his term until May 2027 barring rare impeachment requiring supermajorities. On April 24, 2026, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after his second and final term, quelling third-term rumors. Absent fresh escalation like a successful no-confidence triggering dissolution or personal scandal, early departure remains improbable; watch for budget execution challenges or coalition negotiations through mid-2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,962,074 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin 2026
1%
$1,962,074 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$370,230 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's fragmented National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling political instability with multiple prime ministerial turnovers and a government that barely survived no-confidence votes on the 2026 budget in January. Macron's presidency, however, enjoys constitutional safeguards under the Fifth Republic, locking in his term until May 2027 barring rare impeachment requiring supermajorities. On April 24, 2026, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after his second and final term, quelling third-term rumors. Absent fresh escalation like a successful no-confidence triggering dissolution or personal scandal, early departure remains improbable; watch for budget execution challenges or coalition negotiations through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,962,074Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's fragmented National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling political instability with multiple prime ministerial turnovers and a government that barely survived no-confidence votes on the 2026 budget in January. Macron's presidency, however, enjoys constitutional safeguards under the Fifth Republic, locking in his term until May 2027 barring rare impeachment requiring supermajorities. On April 24, 2026, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after his second and final term, quelling third-term rumors. Absent fresh escalation like a successful no-confidence triggering dissolution or personal scandal, early departure remains improbable; watch for budget execution challenges or coalition negotiations through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,962,074Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's fragmented National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling political instability with multiple prime ministerial turnovers and a government that barely survived no-confidence votes on the 2026 budget in January. Macron's presidency, however, enjoys constitutional safeguards under the Fifth Republic, locking in his term until May 2027 barring rare impeachment requiring supermajorities. On April 24, 2026, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after his second and final term, quelling third-term rumors. Absent fresh escalation like a successful no-confidence triggering dissolution or personal scandal, early departure remains improbable; watch for budget execution challenges or coalition negotiations through mid-2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes