**Nicolás Maduro has been held in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by American forces during a raid on his Caracas residence, facing charges of narcoterrorism, cocaine trafficking, weapons offenses, and conspiracy to commit torture.** Prosecutors added the torture count in October 2026, alleging he oversaw repression involving beatings, electric shocks, and abuse of opponents including U.S. citizens. The case, now before a new judge after the prior jurist’s death, is set for trial in June 2027, with potential sentences of decades or life if convicted. Defense efforts to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds face significant legal hurdles given U.S. non-recognition of Maduro as Venezuela’s legitimate leader, though the outcome remains uncertain amid ongoing political transition under interim President Delcy Rodríguez and broader diplomatic factors. Trader consensus favoring no prison time reflects the extended timeline, possibility of plea resolutions, acquittal risks, or external interventions before final resolution, while longer-sentence buckets price in conviction scenarios on the expanded indictment.