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icon for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
Geopolitics·Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

icon for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
Geopolitics·Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$135,109 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$135,109 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$88,600 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$46,509 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90, remains Palestinian Authority president and Fatah leader following his unanimous re-election at the movement’s May 2026 conference, where his son Yasser secured a Central Committee seat amid ongoing succession maneuvering. In mid-June 2026, Abbas announced presidential elections for 2027 and legislative polls for November 2026, reversing earlier timelines tied to the end of the Gaza conflict. An October 2025 decree designates PLO vice president Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor in case of vacancy, while internal Fatah rivalries and the absence of competitive elections since 2005 continue to shape leadership transition dynamics. Traders monitor these institutional signals, Abbas’s health trajectory, and any shifts in Fatah’s central committee influence for indications of an earlier departure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135,109
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90, remains Palestinian Authority president and Fatah leader following his unanimous re-election at the movement’s May 2026 conference, where his son Yasser secured a Central Committee seat amid ongoing succession maneuvering. In mid-June 2026, Abbas announced presidential elections for 2027 and legislative polls for November 2026, reversing earlier timelines tied to the end of the Gaza conflict. An October 2025 decree designates PLO vice president Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor in case of vacancy, while internal Fatah rivalries and the absence of competitive elections since 2005 continue to shape leadership transition dynamics. Traders monitor these institutional signals, Abbas’s health trajectory, and any shifts in Fatah’s central committee influence for indications of an earlier departure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135,109
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « December 31 » à 16%, suivi de « June 30 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 16¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? » a généré $135.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? » est « December 31 » à 16%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « June 30 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.