The US embargo on Cuba, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in 2026. This policy framework restricts American companies from direct commercial operations on the island outside narrow exceptions like the existing location at the Guantánamo Bay naval base. In June 2026, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel addressed questions on foreign franchises but offered no commitments or policy shifts that would alter licensing or investment rules. Traders have priced these structural constraints into the 93% probability on “No,” reflecting limited scope for bilateral diplomatic movement or regulatory changes before year-end. No subsequent official actions have signaled an opening that could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US embargo on Cuba, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in 2026. This policy framework restricts American companies from direct commercial operations on the island outside narrow exceptions like the existing location at the Guantánamo Bay naval base. In June 2026, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel addressed questions on foreign franchises but offered no commitments or policy shifts that would alter licensing or investment rules. Traders have priced these structural constraints into the 93% probability on “No,” reflecting limited scope for bilateral diplomatic movement or regulatory changes before year-end. No subsequent official actions have signaled an opening that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,394Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US embargo on Cuba, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in 2026. This policy framework restricts American companies from direct commercial operations on the island outside narrow exceptions like the existing location at the Guantánamo Bay naval base. In June 2026, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel addressed questions on foreign franchises but offered no commitments or policy shifts that would alter licensing or investment rules. Traders have priced these structural constraints into the 93% probability on “No,” reflecting limited scope for bilateral diplomatic movement or regulatory changes before year-end. No subsequent official actions have signaled an opening that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,394Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US embargo on Cuba, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in 2026. This policy framework restricts American companies from direct commercial operations on the island outside narrow exceptions like the existing location at the Guantánamo Bay naval base. In June 2026, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel addressed questions on foreign franchises but offered no commitments or policy shifts that would alter licensing or investment rules. Traders have priced these structural constraints into the 93% probability on “No,” reflecting limited scope for bilateral diplomatic movement or regulatory changes before year-end. No subsequent official actions have signaled an opening that could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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