The intensified U.S. embargo on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade on third-country oil suppliers amid national security concerns over Cuban ties to Russia and others, has sharply constrained economic openings and foreign investment. This maximum-pressure approach under the Trump administration has contributed to Cuba’s severe energy and economic crisis, with no corresponding policy shift to permit U.S. companies like McDonald’s to establish public operations. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel recently sidestepped direct questions on specific chains such as McDonald’s while discussing broader franchise openness, and McDonald’s maintains no expansion plans beyond its long-restricted Guantánamo Bay location. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against any 2026 announcement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The intensified U.S. embargo on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade on third-country oil suppliers amid national security concerns over Cuban ties to Russia and others, has sharply constrained economic openings and foreign investment. This maximum-pressure approach under the Trump administration has contributed to Cuba’s severe energy and economic crisis, with no corresponding policy shift to permit U.S. companies like McDonald’s to establish public operations. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel recently sidestepped direct questions on specific chains such as McDonald’s while discussing broader franchise openness, and McDonald’s maintains no expansion plans beyond its long-restricted Guantánamo Bay location. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against any 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,394Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The intensified U.S. embargo on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade on third-country oil suppliers amid national security concerns over Cuban ties to Russia and others, has sharply constrained economic openings and foreign investment. This maximum-pressure approach under the Trump administration has contributed to Cuba’s severe energy and economic crisis, with no corresponding policy shift to permit U.S. companies like McDonald’s to establish public operations. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel recently sidestepped direct questions on specific chains such as McDonald’s while discussing broader franchise openness, and McDonald’s maintains no expansion plans beyond its long-restricted Guantánamo Bay location. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against any 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,394Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The intensified U.S. embargo on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade on third-country oil suppliers amid national security concerns over Cuban ties to Russia and others, has sharply constrained economic openings and foreign investment. This maximum-pressure approach under the Trump administration has contributed to Cuba’s severe energy and economic crisis, with no corresponding policy shift to permit U.S. companies like McDonald’s to establish public operations. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel recently sidestepped direct questions on specific chains such as McDonald’s while discussing broader franchise openness, and McDonald’s maintains no expansion plans beyond its long-restricted Guantánamo Bay location. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against any 2026 announcement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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