Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$53,857 Vol.
$53,857 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
97%
Parti démocrate
1%
$53,857 Vol.
$53,857 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$22,752 Vol.
97%
Parti démocrate
$31,105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$53,857Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,857Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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