Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, a seat with a D+12 partisan voter index that has favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. She won 62% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general. The Republican primary features Heather Smiley with limited statewide visibility or fundraising momentum to date. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's structural lean, the incumbent's established position, and absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. Late-cycle national swings, unexpected primary upsets, or candidate-specific issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-06 House Election Winner
MI-06 House Election Winner
$34,160 Vol.
$34,160 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$34,160 Vol.
$34,160 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Democratic Party
$16,866 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$17,294 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, a seat with a D+12 partisan voter index that has favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. She won 62% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general. The Republican primary features Heather Smiley with limited statewide visibility or fundraising momentum to date. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's structural lean, the incumbent's established position, and absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. Late-cycle national swings, unexpected primary upsets, or candidate-specific issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$34,160Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, a seat with a D+12 partisan voter index that has favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. She won 62% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general. The Republican primary features Heather Smiley with limited statewide visibility or fundraising momentum to date. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's structural lean, the incumbent's established position, and absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. Late-cycle national swings, unexpected primary upsets, or candidate-specific issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,160Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, a seat with a D+12 partisan voter index that has favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. She won 62% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general. The Republican primary features Heather Smiley with limited statewide visibility or fundraising momentum to date. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's structural lean, the incumbent's established position, and absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. Late-cycle national swings, unexpected primary upsets, or candidate-specific issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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