Michael Carrick’s appointment as Manchester United’s permanent head coach on a contract until 2028, confirmed in May 2026 after he replaced Ruben Amorim in January, underpins trader views on any near-term departure. His interim spell delivered 11 wins in 16 games, including victories over Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea, securing third place and a return to the Champions League. Early 2026/27 fixtures, including the league-phase opener against Sabah and the Manchester derby, plus squad management around injuries like Luke Shaw and fixture congestion, represent the main near-term tests. Official club backing and positive recent form have kept implied probabilities of an exit low, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing stability after years of managerial turnover at Old Trafford.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOct 31, 2026
18%
Dec 31, 2026
26%
Feb 28, 2027
33%
Apr 30, 2027
37%
Jun 30, 2027
39%
$0.00 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
18%
Dec 31, 2026
26%
Feb 28, 2027
33%
Apr 30, 2027
37%
Jun 30, 2027
39%
Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.
The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.
If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.
The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.
If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Michael Carrick’s appointment as Manchester United’s permanent head coach on a contract until 2028, confirmed in May 2026 after he replaced Ruben Amorim in January, underpins trader views on any near-term departure. His interim spell delivered 11 wins in 16 games, including victories over Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea, securing third place and a return to the Champions League. Early 2026/27 fixtures, including the league-phase opener against Sabah and the Manchester derby, plus squad management around injuries like Luke Shaw and fixture congestion, represent the main near-term tests. Official club backing and positive recent form have kept implied probabilities of an exit low, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing stability after years of managerial turnover at Old Trafford.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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