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icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

34% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
34% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No four-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB season through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat.** Only 21 players have achieved it across more than a century of play, with 2025 standing as a clear outlier that produced three instances—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber—marking the first time any season had multiple such performances. In a typical year the event remains exceptional because it demands an unusually prolonged hot streak, favorable matchups against weaker pitching staffs, and often a hitter-friendly venue. Current 2026 roster health among top power threats, combined with the absence of early-season blowout games or record offensive outbursts, supports the market’s assessment that the probability stays below 30% for the remainder of the campaign. Late-season roster moves or prolonged slumps among elite sluggers could further reduce the chances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3
Date de fin
28 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No four-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB season through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat.** Only 21 players have achieved it across more than a century of play, with 2025 standing as a clear outlier that produced three instances—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber—marking the first time any season had multiple such performances. In a typical year the event remains exceptional because it demands an unusually prolonged hot streak, favorable matchups against weaker pitching staffs, and often a hitter-friendly venue. Current 2026 roster health among top power threats, combined with the absence of early-season blowout games or record offensive outbursts, supports the market’s assessment that the probability stays below 30% for the remainder of the campaign. Late-season roster moves or prolonged slumps among elite sluggers could further reduce the chances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3
Date de fin
28 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« MLB: 4-homer game in 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 26% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 26¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« MLB: 4-homer game in 2026? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « MLB: 4-homer game in 2026? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « MLB: 4-homer game in 2026? » est de 26% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 26% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « MLB: 4-homer game in 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.