Will Venable secured near-certain market pricing at 100% after guiding the Chicago White Sox to an 84-78 record and AL playoff berth in 2026, his second season, following three straight 100-loss campaigns that included a modern-era record 121 defeats in 2024. The 24-win improvement from 2025 marked the first time any club reached the postseason after consecutive 100-loss seasons, with Venable earning 15 of 30 first-place BBWAA votes and 111 points ahead of finalists Kevin Cash and Chad Tracy. Traders priced in this outcome once regular-season balloting closed and the White Sox exceeded expectations through roster cohesion, offensive production, and consistent preparation. Only an unprecedented reversal of the announced results or documented voting irregularities would shift the implied probability.