The strong Republican lean of Missouri’s 6th congressional district, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement created an open-seat primary on August 4, 2026, which Chris Stigall won with 44 percent; Josh Smead secured the Democratic nomination. The district’s rural northern Missouri and suburban Kansas City Northland composition has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic resources and visibility. A Republican nominee could still face challenges from an unusually strong Democratic general-election performance, a damaging scandal, or a significant national partisan swing, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$40,982 Vol.
$40,982 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$40,982 Vol.
$40,982 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$26,328 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$14,654 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Missouri’s 6th congressional district, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement created an open-seat primary on August 4, 2026, which Chris Stigall won with 44 percent; Josh Smead secured the Democratic nomination. The district’s rural northern Missouri and suburban Kansas City Northland composition has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic resources and visibility. A Republican nominee could still face challenges from an unusually strong Democratic general-election performance, a damaging scandal, or a significant national partisan swing, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$40,982Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Missouri’s 6th congressional district, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement created an open-seat primary on August 4, 2026, which Chris Stigall won with 44 percent; Josh Smead secured the Democratic nomination. The district’s rural northern Missouri and suburban Kansas City Northland composition has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic resources and visibility. A Republican nominee could still face challenges from an unusually strong Democratic general-election performance, a damaging scandal, or a significant national partisan swing, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,982Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Missouri’s 6th congressional district, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement created an open-seat primary on August 4, 2026, which Chris Stigall won with 44 percent; Josh Smead secured the Democratic nomination. The district’s rural northern Missouri and suburban Kansas City Northland composition has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic resources and visibility. A Republican nominee could still face challenges from an unusually strong Democratic general-election performance, a damaging scandal, or a significant national partisan swing, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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