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icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?
Politique·Iran

Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?

icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?
Politique·Iran

Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?

NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$7 Vol.

Polymarket

31 juillet

$7 Vol.

11%

30 septembre

$0 Vol.

45%

31 décembre

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 47%, suivi de « 30 septembre » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 septembre » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.