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Sports·Hot Dog Eating Contest

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total

icon for Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total
Sports·Hot Dog Eating Contest

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total

Men

50% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Men

50% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.

This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11
Date de fin
4 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.

This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11
Date de fin
4 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total » à 50%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total » est « Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.