Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a lead in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race due to his established position as governor and recent polling that shows him ahead or tied with Democratic challenger Aaron Ford. Primaries concluded in June with both candidates securing strong nominations, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. GOP-affiliated surveys from early August indicated Lombardo advantages of 7 to 12 points among likely voters, while a Democratic poll in July showed a statistical tie at 44 percent each. Traders appear to weigh Lombardo's incumbency, the state's recent Republican tilt in statewide contests, and limited major campaign developments in the past month as factors supporting the current implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$68,726 Vol.
$68,726 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
61%
Aaron Ford (D)
39%
$68,726 Vol.
$68,726 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
$47,335 Vol.
61%
Aaron Ford (D)
$21,392 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a lead in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race due to his established position as governor and recent polling that shows him ahead or tied with Democratic challenger Aaron Ford. Primaries concluded in June with both candidates securing strong nominations, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. GOP-affiliated surveys from early August indicated Lombardo advantages of 7 to 12 points among likely voters, while a Democratic poll in July showed a statistical tie at 44 percent each. Traders appear to weigh Lombardo's incumbency, the state's recent Republican tilt in statewide contests, and limited major campaign developments in the past month as factors supporting the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$68,726Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a lead in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race due to his established position as governor and recent polling that shows him ahead or tied with Democratic challenger Aaron Ford. Primaries concluded in June with both candidates securing strong nominations, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. GOP-affiliated surveys from early August indicated Lombardo advantages of 7 to 12 points among likely voters, while a Democratic poll in July showed a statistical tie at 44 percent each. Traders appear to weigh Lombardo's incumbency, the state's recent Republican tilt in statewide contests, and limited major campaign developments in the past month as factors supporting the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,726Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a lead in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race due to his established position as governor and recent polling that shows him ahead or tied with Democratic challenger Aaron Ford. Primaries concluded in June with both candidates securing strong nominations, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. GOP-affiliated surveys from early August indicated Lombardo advantages of 7 to 12 points among likely voters, while a Democratic poll in July showed a statistical tie at 44 percent each. Traders appear to weigh Lombardo's incumbency, the state's recent Republican tilt in statewide contests, and limited major campaign developments in the past month as factors supporting the current implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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