New Hampshire's open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas leading Republican John Sununu in recent general election polling averages, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a modest edge over Democrat Cinde Warmington in governor matchups. Trader consensus on a Republican governor and Democratic senator outcome reflects these polling trends, historical ticket-splitting patterns in the state, and the approaching September 8 primaries that could finalize nominees. Ayotte's incumbency and job approval provide structural advantages in the gubernatorial contest, whereas the Senate race remains more competitive amid national midterm dynamics. Lower probabilities for sweeps align with evidence of divided voter preferences across the two offices.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRép. gagnent le gouverneur, Dém. gagnent le Sénat 69%
Victoire totale des démocrates 12%
Victoire totale des républicains 11%
Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 2.4%
Rép. gagnent le gouverneur, Dém. gagnent le Sénat
69%
Victoire totale des démocrates
12%
Victoire totale des républicains
11%
Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat
2%
Rép. gagnent le gouverneur, Dém. gagnent le Sénat 69%
Victoire totale des démocrates 12%
Victoire totale des républicains 11%
Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 2.4%
Rép. gagnent le gouverneur, Dém. gagnent le Sénat
69%
Victoire totale des démocrates
12%
Victoire totale des républicains
11%
Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat
2%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Hampshire's open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas leading Republican John Sununu in recent general election polling averages, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a modest edge over Democrat Cinde Warmington in governor matchups. Trader consensus on a Republican governor and Democratic senator outcome reflects these polling trends, historical ticket-splitting patterns in the state, and the approaching September 8 primaries that could finalize nominees. Ayotte's incumbency and job approval provide structural advantages in the gubernatorial contest, whereas the Senate race remains more competitive amid national midterm dynamics. Lower probabilities for sweeps align with evidence of divided voter preferences across the two offices.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes