Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to New York’s strong Democratic voter registration edge, her status as incumbent, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent Siena surveys through August showed her ahead by 10 to 20 points, aligning with forecasts rating the contest Solid Democratic. Hochul benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support following her uncontested June primary. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition but remains less known statewide. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in national economic conditions, unusually high or low turnout among key blocs, or health events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de New York
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de New York
$105,550 Vol.
$105,550 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kathy Hochul
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
5%
$105,550 Vol.
$105,550 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kathy Hochul
$49,511 Vol.
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$56,039 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to New York’s strong Democratic voter registration edge, her status as incumbent, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent Siena surveys through August showed her ahead by 10 to 20 points, aligning with forecasts rating the contest Solid Democratic. Hochul benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support following her uncontested June primary. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition but remains less known statewide. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in national economic conditions, unusually high or low turnout among key blocs, or health events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$105,550Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to New York’s strong Democratic voter registration edge, her status as incumbent, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent Siena surveys through August showed her ahead by 10 to 20 points, aligning with forecasts rating the contest Solid Democratic. Hochul benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support following her uncontested June primary. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition but remains less known statewide. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in national economic conditions, unusually high or low turnout among key blocs, or health events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$105,550Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to New York’s strong Democratic voter registration edge, her status as incumbent, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent Siena surveys through August showed her ahead by 10 to 20 points, aligning with forecasts rating the contest Solid Democratic. Hochul benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support following her uncontested June primary. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition but remains less known statewide. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in national economic conditions, unusually high or low turnout among key blocs, or health events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes