Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s October 2026 general election show Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First and the Greens competing most closely for third under the MMP system. NZ First has maintained an edge in trader consensus due to its consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support in 2026 surveys, historical precedent as a kingmaker party, and resilience despite recent dips linked to leader Winston Peters’ standing. The Greens trail in implied probability after mixed results, including gains in some mid-year polls offset by softer numbers in August surveys amid Opportunity’s surge past the 5% threshold. Smaller parties such as ACT remain well behind in seat projections, limiting their prospects for third place.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,021 Vol.
$13,021 Vol.
7 nov. 2026
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,021 Vol.
$13,021 Vol.
7 nov. 2026
New Zealand First Party
$4,805 Vol.
53%
Green Party
$5,260 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Vol.
2%
National Party
$415 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s October 2026 general election show Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First and the Greens competing most closely for third under the MMP system. NZ First has maintained an edge in trader consensus due to its consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support in 2026 surveys, historical precedent as a kingmaker party, and resilience despite recent dips linked to leader Winston Peters’ standing. The Greens trail in implied probability after mixed results, including gains in some mid-year polls offset by softer numbers in August surveys amid Opportunity’s surge past the 5% threshold. Smaller parties such as ACT remain well behind in seat projections, limiting their prospects for third place.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$13,021Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s October 2026 general election show Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First and the Greens competing most closely for third under the MMP system. NZ First has maintained an edge in trader consensus due to its consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support in 2026 surveys, historical precedent as a kingmaker party, and resilience despite recent dips linked to leader Winston Peters’ standing. The Greens trail in implied probability after mixed results, including gains in some mid-year polls offset by softer numbers in August surveys amid Opportunity’s surge past the 5% threshold. Smaller parties such as ACT remain well behind in seat projections, limiting their prospects for third place.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$13,021Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s October 2026 general election show Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First and the Greens competing most closely for third under the MMP system. NZ First has maintained an edge in trader consensus due to its consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support in 2026 surveys, historical precedent as a kingmaker party, and resilience despite recent dips linked to leader Winston Peters’ standing. The Greens trail in implied probability after mixed results, including gains in some mid-year polls offset by softer numbers in August surveys amid Opportunity’s surge past the 5% threshold. Smaller parties such as ACT remain well behind in seat projections, limiting their prospects for third place.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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