Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 64%
National Party 36%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2026
National Party
36%
Labour Party
64%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 64%
National Party 36%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2026
National Party
$861 Vol.
36%
Labour Party
$924 Vol.
64%
Green Party
$245 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$255 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$235 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$230 Vol.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,749Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$2,749Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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